How it finished
Dundee United beat St Mirren 3–0. Bawler's model favoured St Mirren at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Dundee United 29%. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. St Mirren had 10 shots (0 on target) to Dundee United's 13 (9), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won St Mirren vs Dundee United?
Dundee United beat St Mirren 3–0. Bawler's model favoured St Mirren at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Dundee United 29%. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. St Mirren had 10 shots (0 on target) to Dundee United's 13 (9), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.5.
What was the final score in St Mirren vs Dundee United?
St Mirren 0–3 Dundee United, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with St Mirren 44%, the draw 26% and Dundee United 29%.
What were the stats in St Mirren vs Dundee United?
Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.5, Shots 10–13, Shots on target 0–9, Shots inside box 6–9, Big chances 1–2, Corners 4–7, Saves 6–0, Fouls 13–13, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in St Mirren vs Dundee United?
No. It finished 0–3, so St Mirren failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for St Mirren vs Dundee United right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said St Mirren or draw 71%, it finished Dundee United won (29% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.