How it finished
Sunderland beat Fulham 1–0. Bawler's model had Sunderland in front at 36% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Sunderland had 12 shots (4 on target) to Fulham's 10 (0), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 58%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Sunderland vs Fulham?
Sunderland beat Fulham 1–0. Bawler's model had Sunderland in front at 36% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Sunderland had 12 shots (4 on target) to Fulham's 10 (0), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.8.
What was the final score in Sunderland vs Fulham?
Sunderland 1–0 Fulham, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sunderland 36%, the draw 28% and Fulham 36%.
What were the stats in Sunderland vs Fulham?
Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–0.8, Shots 12–10, Shots on target 4–0, Shots inside box 9–6, Big chances 3–2, Corners 3–4, Saves 0–3, Fouls 10–15, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 0–2.
Did both teams score in Sunderland vs Fulham?
No. It finished 1–0, so Fulham failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Sunderland vs Fulham right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Sunderland or draw 64%, it finished Sunderland won (36% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 72%, it finished Missed.