Newcastle United beat Tottenham Hotspur 2–0. Bawler's model had Newcastle United in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Tottenham Hotspur had 17 shots (6 on target) to Newcastle United's 11 (2), with 58% of the ball against 42%. On expected goals it was 1.0 to 0.8, so Tottenham Hotspur created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Newcastle United beat Tottenham Hotspur 2–0. Bawler's model had Newcastle United in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Tottenham Hotspur had 17 shots (6 on target) to Newcastle United's 11 (2), with 58% of the ball against 42%. On expected goals it was 1.0 to 0.8, so Tottenham Hotspur created the better chances and still lost the game.
Tottenham Hotspur 0–2 Newcastle United, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Tottenham Hotspur 37%, the draw 26% and Newcastle United 37%.
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.8, Shots 17–11, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 10–7, Big chances 1–1, Corners 9–7, Saves 0–4, Fouls 15–9, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–2.
No. It finished 0–2, so Tottenham Hotspur failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Newcastle United or draw 63%, it finished Newcastle United won (37% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 55%, it finished Missed.