Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United prediction — Premier League · Sat 29 Aug · 17:30 UK

Premier League · Sat 29 Aug · 17:30 UK
Tottenham Hotspur 37Draw 26Newcastle United 37
Our call before kickoff
63%
Newcastle United or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
80%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
55%

How it finished

Newcastle United beat Tottenham Hotspur 2–0. Bawler's model had Newcastle United in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Tottenham Hotspur had 17 shots (6 on target) to Newcastle United's 11 (2), with 58% of the ball against 42%. On expected goals it was 1.0 to 0.8, so Tottenham Hotspur created the better chances and still lost the game.

Tottenham…Full-time statsNewcastle…
58%Possession42%
1.0Expected goals (xG)0.8
17Shots11
6Shots on target2
10Shots inside box7
1Big chances1
9Corners7
0Saves4
15Fouls9
2Offsides1
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callNewcastle United or draw 63%Newcastle United won (37% called)
Total goals2.92
Both teams to score58%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 78%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 55%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Tottenham HotspurNewcastle United
1.4
Goals
1.4
14.1
Shots+1.7
12.4
5.1
On target+0.6
4.5
6.3
Corners+0.8
5.5
Tottenham HotspurNewcastle United
0.5
Goals+0.2
0.6
6.3
Shots+0.5
5.8
2.1
On target+0.1
2.3
3.0
Corners+0.4
2.6
Tottenham HotspurNewcastle United
1.0
Goals+0.2
0.8
7.8
Shots+1.2
6.6
2.9
On target+0.7
2.2
3.3
Corners+0.4
2.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals78%
Newcastle United to score76%
Tottenham Hotspur to score76%
Under 3.5 goals68%

First half — what we expected

Tottenham Hotspur
46%
to score before half-time
Newcastle United
63%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%

Tottenham HotspurNewcastle United
6.31st-half shots5.8
2.11st-half shots on target2.3
3.01st-half corners2.6

First-half chances

69%Chance of 5+ shots63%
43%Chance of 7+ shots37%
85%Chance of 1+ shots on target87%
36%Chance of 3+ shots on target39%
74%Chance of 2+ corners68%
34%Chance of 4+ corners27%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Tottenham Hotspur6.37.8
Shots · Newcastle United5.86.6
Shots on target · Tottenham Hotspur2.12.9
Shots on target · Newcastle United2.32.2
Corners · Tottenham Hotspur3.03.3
Corners · Newcastle United2.62.9
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Tottenham Hotspur 0 · Draws 2 · Newcastle United 3
Newcastle United in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Feb 2026Tottenham Hotspur 1–2 Newcastle United
Dec 2025Newcastle United 2–2 Tottenham Hotspur
Oct 2025Newcastle United 2–0 Tottenham Hotspur
Aug 2025Tottenham Hotspur 1–1 Newcastle United
Jan 2025Tottenham Hotspur 1–2 Newcastle United
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United?

Newcastle United beat Tottenham Hotspur 2–0. Bawler's model had Newcastle United in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Tottenham Hotspur had 17 shots (6 on target) to Newcastle United's 11 (2), with 58% of the ball against 42%. On expected goals it was 1.0 to 0.8, so Tottenham Hotspur created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United?

Tottenham Hotspur 0–2 Newcastle United, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Tottenham Hotspur 37%, the draw 26% and Newcastle United 37%.

What were the stats in Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United?

Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.8, Shots 17–11, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 10–7, Big chances 1–1, Corners 9–7, Saves 0–4, Fouls 15–9, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United?

No. It finished 0–2, so Tottenham Hotspur failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Newcastle United or draw 63%, it finished Newcastle United won (37% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 55%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Premier League table →
All fixtures & results →Tottenham Hotspur form →Newcastle United form →