Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray prediction — Süper Lig · Sat 19 Sept · 18:00 UK

Süper Lig · Sat 19 Sept · 18:00 UK
Trabzonspor 30Draw 24Galatasaray 46
Our call before kickoff
70%
Galatasaray or draw
Missed
3.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 4–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
79%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
64%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
63%

How it finished

Trabzonspor beat Galatasaray 4–0. Bawler's model favoured Galatasaray at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Trabzonspor 30%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Trabzonspor had 7 shots (4 on target) to Galatasaray's 13 (3), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 0.9.

TrabzonsporFull-time statsGalatasaray
46%Possession54%
2.3Expected goals (xG)0.9
7Shots13
4Shots on target3
7Shots inside box8
6Big chances1
1Corners5
2Saves0
15Fouls18
3Offsides0
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callGalatasaray or draw 70%Trabzonspor won (30% called)
Total goals3.34
Both teams to score64%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 84%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

TrabzonsporGalatasaray
1.4
Goals+0.4
1.8
11.8
Shots+4.4
16.2
5.4
On target+5.7
11.0
5.3
Corners+3.5
8.7
TrabzonsporGalatasaray
0.4
Goals+0.2
0.6
5.4
Shots+2.2
7.6
2.4
On target+3.1
5.4
2.5
Corners+1.6
4.1
TrabzonsporGalatasaray
1.0
Goals+0.2
1.2
6.3
Shots+2.2
8.6
3.0
On target+2.6
5.6
2.8
Corners+1.8
4.6

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Galatasaray to score84%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Trabzonspor to score76%
Over 2.5 goals63%

First half — what we expected

Trabzonspor
45%
to score before half-time
Galatasaray
62%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%

TrabzonsporGalatasaray
5.41st-half shots7.6
2.41st-half shots on target5.4
2.51st-half corners4.1

First-half chances

32%Chance of 7+ shots59%
14%Chance of 9+ shots36%
23%Chance of 4+ shots on target75%
<10%Chance of 6+ shots on target45%
43%Chance of 3+ corners73%
14%Chance of 5+ corners39%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Trabzonspor5.46.3
Shots · Galatasaray7.68.6
Shots on target · Trabzonspor2.43.0
Shots on target · Galatasaray5.45.6
Corners · Trabzonspor2.52.8
Corners · Galatasaray4.14.6
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Trabzonspor 1 · Draws 1 · Galatasaray 3
Galatasaray in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Apr 2026Trabzonspor 2–1 Galatasaray
Jan 2026Galatasaray 4–1 Trabzonspor
Nov 2025Galatasaray 0–0 Trabzonspor
May 2025Trabzonspor 0–3 Galatasaray
May 2025Trabzonspor 0–2 Galatasaray
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray?

Trabzonspor beat Galatasaray 4–0. Bawler's model favoured Galatasaray at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Trabzonspor 30%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Trabzonspor had 7 shots (4 on target) to Galatasaray's 13 (3), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 0.9.

What was the final score in Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray?

Trabzonspor 4–0 Galatasaray, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Trabzonspor 30%, the draw 24% and Galatasaray 46%.

What were the stats in Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray?

Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–0.9, Shots 7–13, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 7–8, Big chances 6–1, Corners 1–5, Saves 2–0, Fouls 15–18, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 4–1, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray?

No. It finished 4–0, so Galatasaray failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Galatasaray or draw 70%, it finished Trabzonspor won (30% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Trabzonspor form →Galatasaray form →