How it finished
Real Sociedad beat Valencia 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Valencia at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Real Sociedad 27%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. Valencia had 21 shots (5 on target) to Real Sociedad's 21 (6), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 2.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 65%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Valencia vs Real Sociedad?
Real Sociedad beat Valencia 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Valencia at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Real Sociedad 27%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. Valencia had 21 shots (5 on target) to Real Sociedad's 21 (6), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 2.7.
What was the final score in Valencia vs Real Sociedad?
Valencia 2–3 Real Sociedad, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Valencia 47%, the draw 26% and Real Sociedad 27%.
What were the stats in Valencia vs Real Sociedad?
Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–2.7, Shots 21–21, Shots on target 5–6, Shots inside box 12–15, Big chances 1–2, Corners 7–5, Saves 3–4, Fouls 9–12, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–3, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Valencia vs Real Sociedad?
Yes — both Valencia and Real Sociedad scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Valencia vs Real Sociedad right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Valencia or draw 73%, it finished Real Sociedad won (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.