Venezia vs Lazio prediction — Serie A · Sat 19 Sept · 19:45 UK

Serie A · Sat 19 Sept · 19:45 UK
Venezia 28Draw 26Lazio 46
Our call before kickoff
72%
Lazio or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
52%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
56%

How it finished

Lazio beat Venezia 2–0. Bawler's model had Lazio in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Venezia had 17 shots (6 on target) to Lazio's 11 (2), with 49% of the ball against 51%. On expected goals it was 1.9 to 1.6, so Venezia created the better chances and still lost the game.

VeneziaFull-time statsLazio
49%Possession51%
1.9Expected goals (xG)1.6
17Shots11
6Shots on target2
10Shots inside box5
2Big chances2
7Corners2
0Saves7
14Fouls8
2Offsides0
6Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callLazio or draw 72%Lazio won (46% called)
Total goals2.92
Both teams to score58%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 79%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

VeneziaLazio
1.2
Goals+0.4
1.7
14.6
Shots+4.9
19.4
3.7
On target+3.3
7.0
2.7
Corners+5.0
7.8
VeneziaLazio
0.3
Goals+0.1
0.3
6.1
Shots+2.6
8.7
1.3
On target+1.8
3.1
1.3
Corners+2.4
3.6
VeneziaLazio
1.0
Goals+0.3
1.3
8.5
Shots+2.2
10.7
2.4
On target+1.5
3.9
1.5
Corners+2.7
4.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Lazio to score81%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Venezia to score71%
Under 3.5 goals67%

First half — what we expected

Venezia
27%
to score before half-time
Lazio
34%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 52%

VeneziaLazio
6.11st-half shots8.7
1.31st-half shots on target3.1
1.31st-half corners3.6

First-half chances

29%Chance of 8+ shots59%
14%Chance of 10+ shots38%
35%Chance of 2+ shots on target78%
<10%Chance of 4+ shots on target37%
16%Chance of 3+ corners66%
<10%Chance of 5+ corners31%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Venezia6.18.5
Shots · Lazio8.710.7
Shots on target · Venezia1.32.4
Shots on target · Lazio3.13.9
Corners · Venezia1.31.5
Corners · Lazio3.64.1
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Venezia form (last 6)L L L L L L
Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 4Venezia 0 · Draws 1 · Lazio 3
Lazio in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Feb 2025Venezia 0–0 Lazio
Aug 2024Lazio 3–1 Venezia
Mar 2022Lazio 1–0 Venezia
Dec 2021Venezia 1–3 Lazio
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Venezia vs Lazio?

Lazio beat Venezia 2–0. Bawler's model had Lazio in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Venezia had 17 shots (6 on target) to Lazio's 11 (2), with 49% of the ball against 51%. On expected goals it was 1.9 to 1.6, so Venezia created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Venezia vs Lazio?

Venezia 0–2 Lazio, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Venezia 28%, the draw 26% and Lazio 46%.

What were the stats in Venezia vs Lazio?

Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.6, Shots 17–11, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 10–5, Big chances 2–2, Corners 7–2, Saves 0–7, Fouls 14–8, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 6–0.

Did both teams score in Venezia vs Lazio?

No. It finished 0–2, so Venezia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Venezia vs Lazio right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lazio or draw 72%, it finished Lazio won (46% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Venezia form →Lazio form →