How it finished
Borussia Dortmund beat VfB Stuttgart 1–0. Bawler's model favoured VfB Stuttgart at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Borussia Dortmund 35%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 1 was scored. VfB Stuttgart had 12 shots (5 on target) to Borussia Dortmund's 13 (2), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund?
Borussia Dortmund beat VfB Stuttgart 1–0. Bawler's model favoured VfB Stuttgart at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Borussia Dortmund 35%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 1 was scored. VfB Stuttgart had 12 shots (5 on target) to Borussia Dortmund's 13 (2), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.3.
What was the final score in VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund?
VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Borussia Dortmund, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with VfB Stuttgart 41%, the draw 24% and Borussia Dortmund 35%.
What were the stats in VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund?
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.3, Shots 12–13, Shots on target 5–2, Shots inside box 8–10, Big chances 0–3, Corners 6–2, Saves 1–5, Fouls 9–14, Offsides 4–1, Yellow cards 2–5.
Did both teams score in VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund?
No. It finished 0–1, so VfB Stuttgart failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said VfB Stuttgart or draw 65%, it finished Borussia Dortmund won (35% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Missed.