Villarreal vs Levante prediction — LaLiga · Sun 20 Sept · 17:30 UK

LaLiga · Sun 20 Sept · 17:30 UK
Villarreal 55Draw 23Levante 22
Our call before kickoff
78%
Villarreal or draw
Landed
3.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
81%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
61%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
63%

How it finished

Villarreal beat Levante 3–1. Bawler's model had Villarreal in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Villarreal had 21 shots (7 on target) to Levante's 6 (1), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 4.0 to 0.5.

VillarrealFull-time statsLevante
62%Possession38%
4.0Expected goals (xG)0.5
21Shots6
7Shots on target1
13Shots inside box5
7Big chances2
7Corners1
0Saves3
9Fouls10
1Offsides0
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callVillarreal or draw 78%Villarreal won (55% called)
Total goals3.34
Both teams to score61%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 84%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

VillarrealLevante
2.0
Goals+0.8
1.2
19.3
Shots+7.6
11.7
8.2
On target+4.4
3.9
8.7
Corners+5.1
3.6
VillarrealLevante
0.7
Goals+0.3
0.4
9.2
Shots+3.9
5.2
4.2
On target+2.4
1.7
4.1
Corners+2.4
1.7
VillarrealLevante
1.3
Goals+0.5
0.8
10.1
Shots+3.6
6.5
4.1
On target+1.9
2.2
4.6
Corners+2.7
1.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Villarreal to score87%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Levante to score71%
Over 2.5 goals63%

First half — what we expected

Villarreal
67%
to score before half-time
Levante
41%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 81%

VillarrealLevante
9.21st-half shots5.2
4.21st-half shots on target1.7
4.11st-half corners1.7

First-half chances

64%Chance of 8+ shots20%
43%Chance of 10+ shots<10%
74%Chance of 3+ shots on target25%
40%Chance of 5+ shots on target<10%
73%Chance of 3+ corners25%
39%Chance of 5+ corners<10%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Villarreal9.210.1
Shots · Levante5.26.5
Shots on target · Villarreal4.24.1
Shots on target · Levante1.72.2
Corners · Villarreal4.14.6
Corners · Levante1.71.9
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.8 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Villarreal 4 · Draws 0 · Levante 1
Levante in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Aug 2026Villarreal 1–0 Levante
May 2026Villarreal 5–1 Levante
Feb 2026Levante 0–1 Villarreal
Aug 2022Villarreal 3–1 Levante
Apr 2022Levante 2–0 Villarreal
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Villarreal vs Levante?

Villarreal beat Levante 3–1. Bawler's model had Villarreal in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Villarreal had 21 shots (7 on target) to Levante's 6 (1), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 4.0 to 0.5.

What was the final score in Villarreal vs Levante?

Villarreal 3–1 Levante, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Villarreal 55%, the draw 23% and Levante 22%.

What were the stats in Villarreal vs Levante?

Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 4.0–0.5, Shots 21–6, Shots on target 7–1, Shots inside box 13–5, Big chances 7–2, Corners 7–1, Saves 0–3, Fouls 9–10, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Villarreal vs Levante?

Yes — both Villarreal and Levante scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Villarreal vs Levante right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Villarreal or draw 78%, it finished Villarreal won (55% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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