Villarreal beat Levante 3–1. Bawler's model had Villarreal in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Villarreal had 21 shots (7 on target) to Levante's 6 (1), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 4.0 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 81%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Villarreal beat Levante 3–1. Bawler's model had Villarreal in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Villarreal had 21 shots (7 on target) to Levante's 6 (1), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 4.0 to 0.5.
Villarreal 3–1 Levante, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Villarreal 55%, the draw 23% and Levante 22%.
Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 4.0–0.5, Shots 21–6, Shots on target 7–1, Shots inside box 13–5, Big chances 7–2, Corners 7–1, Saves 0–3, Fouls 9–10, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–1.
Yes — both Villarreal and Levante scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Villarreal or draw 78%, it finished Villarreal won (55% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.