How it finished
Willem II and Heerenveen drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Heerenveen at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. Willem II had 12 shots (5 on target) to Heerenveen's 13 (5), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Willem II vs Heerenveen?
Willem II and Heerenveen drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Heerenveen at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. Willem II had 12 shots (5 on target) to Heerenveen's 13 (5), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.4.
What was the final score in Willem II vs Heerenveen?
Willem II 2–2 Heerenveen, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Willem II 25%, the draw 23% and Heerenveen 53%.
What were the stats in Willem II vs Heerenveen?
Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.4, Shots 12–13, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 8–11, Big chances 5–3, Corners 9–7, Saves 3–2, Fouls 9–5, Offsides 2–2.
Did both teams score in Willem II vs Heerenveen?
Yes — both Willem II and Heerenveen scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Willem II vs Heerenveen right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Heerenveen or draw 75%, it finished Draw (23% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Heerenveen to win 53%, it finished Missed.