Wolverhampton Wanderers beat West Bromwich Albion 1–0. Bawler's model had Wolverhampton Wanderers in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Wolverhampton Wanderers had 15 shots (6 on target) to West Bromwich Albion's 7 (2), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 0.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Wolverhampton Wanderers beat West Bromwich Albion 1–0. Bawler's model had Wolverhampton Wanderers in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Wolverhampton Wanderers had 15 shots (6 on target) to West Bromwich Albion's 7 (2), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 0.3.
Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–0 West Bromwich Albion, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Wolverhampton Wanderers 54%, the draw 25% and West Bromwich Albion 20%.
Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–0.3, Shots 15–7, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 12–2, Big chances 4–0, Corners 8–7, Saves 2–5, Fouls 18–13, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 1–2.
No. It finished 1–0, so West Bromwich Albion failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw 80%, it finished Wolverhampton Wanderers won (54% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No.