Inter Miami CF vs Toronto FC prediction — MLS · Sun 23 Aug · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 23 Aug · 00:30 UK
Inter Miami CF 66Draw 20Toronto FC 15
Our call before kickoff
66%
Inter Miami CF to win
Missed
3.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–2
Both teams score (before kick-off)
56%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
63%

How it finished

Toronto FC beat Inter Miami CF 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Inter Miami CF at 66% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Toronto FC 15%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Inter Miami CF had 10 shots (3 on target) to Toronto FC's 7 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%. On expected goals it was 1.8 to 0.5, so Inter Miami CF created the better chances and still lost the game.

Inter MiamiFull-time statsToronto FC
62%Possession38%
1.8Expected goals (xG)0.5
10Shots7
3Shots on target3
7Shots inside box3
3Big chances2
3Corners2
0Saves2
15Fouls8
1Offsides3
2Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callInter Miami CF to win 66%Toronto FC won (15% called)
Total goals3.33
Both teams to score56%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Inter Miami CFToronto FC
2.3
Goals+1.3
1.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Inter Miami CF to score90%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Toronto FC to score63%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Inter Miami CF 3 · Draws 2 · Toronto FC 0
Toronto FC in their league tableLower half

Head to head

May 2026Toronto FC 2–4 Inter Miami CF
Sept 2025Toronto FC 1–1 Inter Miami CF
Apr 2025Inter Miami CF 1–1 Toronto FC
Oct 2024Toronto FC 0–1 Inter Miami CF
Aug 2024Inter Miami CF 4–3 Toronto FC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Inter Miami CF vs Toronto FC?

Toronto FC beat Inter Miami CF 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Inter Miami CF at 66% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Toronto FC 15%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Inter Miami CF had 10 shots (3 on target) to Toronto FC's 7 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%. On expected goals it was 1.8 to 0.5, so Inter Miami CF created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Inter Miami CF vs Toronto FC?

Inter Miami CF 1–2 Toronto FC, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Inter Miami CF 66%, the draw 20% and Toronto FC 15%.

What were the stats in Inter Miami CF vs Toronto FC?

Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–0.5, Shots 10–7, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 7–3, Big chances 3–2, Corners 3–2, Saves 0–2, Fouls 15–8, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in Inter Miami CF vs Toronto FC?

Yes — both Inter Miami CF and Toronto FC scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Inter Miami CF vs Toronto FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Inter Miami CF to win 66%, it finished Toronto FC won (15% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Inter Miami CF form →Toronto FC form →