USA: MLSSaturday 22 Aug, 23:30 UTC

Inter Miami CF vToronto FC

Most likely scoreline
1–1
10% of the time · 3.17 goals expected
Inter Miami CF 51%Draw 27%Toronto FC 22%
How we get there
Inter Miami CFstepToronto FC
1.93Base xG · rolling 26-match1.24
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.93Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.24

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Inter Miami average 5.3 corners per game at home this season (30 competitive matches). Toronto average 4.2 corners per game away from home this season (22 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
4
5
3
1
1
8
10
6
3
1
2
8
10
6
2
1
3
5
6
4
2
4
2
3
2
1
5
1
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Inter Miami CF fixtures & form →Toronto FC fixtures & form →

Inter Miami vs Toronto — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 9 May 2026, Inter Miami have won 1, Toronto have won 0, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
9 May 2026Toronto 2–4 Inter MiamiUSA: MLS

The model's verdict for this fixture: Inter Miami 51% · draw 27% · Toronto 22%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Inter Miami predictions & form →Toronto predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.