How it finished
Minnesota United FC beat San Jose Earthquakes 5–1. Bawler's model favoured San Jose Earthquakes at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Minnesota United FC 28%. It forecast 3.4 goals; the match produced 6. San Jose Earthquakes had 11 shots (6 on target) to Minnesota United FC's 11 (7), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 2.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC?
Minnesota United FC beat San Jose Earthquakes 5–1. Bawler's model favoured San Jose Earthquakes at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Minnesota United FC 28%. It forecast 3.4 goals; the match produced 6. San Jose Earthquakes had 11 shots (6 on target) to Minnesota United FC's 11 (7), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 2.0.
What was the final score in San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC?
San Jose Earthquakes 1–5 Minnesota United FC, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with San Jose Earthquakes 49%, the draw 23% and Minnesota United FC 28%.
What were the stats in San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC?
Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–2.0, Shots 11–11, Shots on target 6–7, Shots inside box 7–10, Big chances 2–5, Corners 3–3, Saves 1–5, Fouls 14–15, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC?
Yes — both San Jose Earthquakes and Minnesota United FC scored, finishing 1–5. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said San Jose Earthquakes or draw 72%, it finished Minnesota United FC won (28% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed.