USA: MLSSunday 23 Aug, 02:30 UTC

San Jose Earthquakes vMinnesota United FC

Most likely scoreline
1–1
10% of the time · 3.11 goals expected
San Jose Earthquakes 47%Draw 28%Minnesota United FC 25%
How we get there
San Jose EarthquakesstepMinnesota United FC
1.82Base xG · rolling 26-match1.29
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.82Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.29

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

San Jose Earthquakes average 6.9 corners per game at home this season (21 competitive matches). Minnesota United average 4.4 corners per game away from home this season (24 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
4
6
4
2
1
1
8
10
7
3
1
2
7
10
6
3
1
3
4
6
4
2
1
4
2
3
2
1
5
1
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

San Jose Earthquakes fixtures & form →Minnesota United FC fixtures & form →

San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between San Jose Earthquakes and Minnesota United — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: San Jose Earthquakes 47% · draw 28% · Minnesota United 25%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

San Jose Earthquakes predictions & form →Minnesota United predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.