How it finished
Athletic Club and Elche drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Athletic Club at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Athletic Club had 19 shots (3 on target) to Elche's 3 (1), with 67% of the ball against 33%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Athletic Club vs Elche?
Athletic Club and Elche drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Athletic Club at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Athletic Club had 19 shots (3 on target) to Elche's 3 (1), with 67% of the ball against 33%.
What was the final score in Athletic Club vs Elche?
Athletic Club 1–1 Elche, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Athletic Club 54%, the draw 25% and Elche 21%.
What were the stats in Athletic Club vs Elche?
Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Shots 19–3, Shots on target 3–1, Corners 7–1, Saves 0–2, Fouls 11–12, Offsides 4–2, Yellow cards 3–3.
Did both teams score in Athletic Club vs Elche?
Yes — both Athletic Club and Elche scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Athletic Club vs Elche right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Athletic Club or draw 79%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes.