How it finished
Birmingham City and Middlesbrough drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Middlesbrough at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Birmingham City had 15 shots (5 on target) to Middlesbrough's 15 (4), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough?
Birmingham City and Middlesbrough drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Middlesbrough at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Birmingham City had 15 shots (5 on target) to Middlesbrough's 15 (4), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.9.
What was the final score in Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough?
Birmingham City 2–2 Middlesbrough, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Birmingham City 34%, the draw 27% and Middlesbrough 38%.
What were the stats in Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough?
Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.9, Shots 15–15, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 7–13, Big chances 3–3, Corners 5–3, Saves 3–4, Fouls 11–11, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 2–0.
Did both teams score in Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough?
Yes — both Birmingham City and Middlesbrough scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Middlesbrough or draw 66%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.