How it finished
Brentford and Sunderland drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Brentford at 55% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Brentford had 12 shots (2 on target) to Sunderland's 14 (5), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Brentford vs Sunderland?
Brentford and Sunderland drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Brentford at 55% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Brentford had 12 shots (2 on target) to Sunderland's 14 (5), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.9.
What was the final score in Brentford vs Sunderland?
Brentford 1–1 Sunderland, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Brentford 55%, the draw 25% and Sunderland 21%.
What were the stats in Brentford vs Sunderland?
Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.9, Shots 12–14, Shots on target 2–5, Shots inside box 7–10, Big chances 3–3, Corners 4–3, Saves 2–1, Fouls 19–9, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 3–2.
Did both teams score in Brentford vs Sunderland?
Yes — both Brentford and Sunderland scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Brentford vs Sunderland right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Brentford or draw 79%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Brentford to win 55%, it finished Missed.