How it finished
Lincoln City beat Bristol City 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Bristol City at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lincoln City 34%. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Bristol City had 18 shots (4 on target) to Lincoln City's 9 (3), with 67% of the ball against 33%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 0.9, so Bristol City created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Bristol City vs Lincoln City?
Lincoln City beat Bristol City 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Bristol City at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lincoln City 34%. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Bristol City had 18 shots (4 on target) to Lincoln City's 9 (3), with 67% of the ball against 33%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 0.9, so Bristol City created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Bristol City vs Lincoln City?
Bristol City 0–1 Lincoln City, played on 15 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bristol City 38%, the draw 27% and Lincoln City 34%.
What were the stats in Bristol City vs Lincoln City?
Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–0.9, Shots 18–9, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 12–5, Big chances 1–1, Corners 13–4, Saves 2–4, Fouls 13–19, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 2–5.
Did both teams score in Bristol City vs Lincoln City?
No. It finished 0–1, so Bristol City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Bristol City vs Lincoln City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bristol City or draw 66%, it finished Lincoln City won (34% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Lincoln City or draw 62%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Missed.