Cagliari vs Juventus prediction — Serie A · Sun 11 Oct · 19:45 UK

Serie A · Sun 11 Oct · 19:45 UK
Cagliari 20Draw 25Juventus 55
Our call before kickoff
80%
Juventus or draw
Landed
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
65%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
51%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
51%

How it finished

Cagliari and Juventus drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Juventus at 55% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Cagliari had 4 shots (2 on target) to Juventus' 22 (10), with 28% of the ball against 72%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.9.

CagliariFull-time statsJuventus
28%Possession72%
0.5Expected goals (xG)1.9
4Shots22
2Shots on target10
2Shots inside box8
1Big chances2
1Corners9
9Saves1
8Fouls8
2Offsides2
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callJuventus or draw 80%Draw (25% called)
Total goals2.72
Both teams to score51%Yes
Second pickBoth teams to score 51%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

CagliariJuventus
0.9
Goals+0.8
1.7
7.1
Shots+11.5
18.5
2.4
On target+5.5
7.9
2.4
Corners+8.3
10.7
CagliariJuventus
0.3
Goals+0.1
0.5
3.1
Shots+5.4
8.5
1.1
On target+2.2
3.3
1.1
Corners+3.9
5.0
CagliariJuventus
0.6
Goals+0.7
1.3
4.0
Shots+6.1
10.1
1.3
On target+3.3
4.6
1.3
Corners+4.4
5.7

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Juventus to score83%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Under 3.5 goals71%
Cagliari to score61%

First half — what we expected

Cagliari
34%
to score before half-time
Juventus
47%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 65%

CagliariJuventus
3.11st-half shots8.5
1.11st-half shots on target3.3
1.11st-half corners5.0

First-half chances

<10%Chance of 7+ shots68%
<10%Chance of 9+ shots46%
29%Chance of 2+ shots on target80%
<10%Chance of 4+ shots on target41%
<10%Chance of 4+ corners69%
<10%Chance of 6+ corners38%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Cagliari3.14.0
Shots · Juventus8.510.1
Shots on target · Cagliari1.11.3
Shots on target · Juventus3.34.6
Corners · Cagliari1.11.3
Corners · Juventus5.05.7
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Cagliari form (last 6)L L W W W D
Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.8 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Cagliari 1 · Draws 1 · Juventus 3
Juventus in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Jan 2026Cagliari 1–0 Juventus
Nov 2025Juventus 2–1 Cagliari
Feb 2025Cagliari 0–1 Juventus
Dec 2024Juventus 4–0 Cagliari
Oct 2024Juventus 1–1 Cagliari
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Cagliari vs Juventus?

Cagliari and Juventus drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Juventus at 55% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Cagliari had 4 shots (2 on target) to Juventus' 22 (10), with 28% of the ball against 72%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.9.

What was the final score in Cagliari vs Juventus?

Cagliari 1–1 Juventus, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Cagliari 20%, the draw 25% and Juventus 55%.

What were the stats in Cagliari vs Juventus?

Full-time: Possession 28%–72%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–1.9, Shots 4–22, Shots on target 2–10, Shots inside box 2–8, Big chances 1–2, Corners 1–9, Saves 9–1, Fouls 8–8, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–1, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Cagliari vs Juventus?

Yes — both Cagliari and Juventus scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Cagliari vs Juventus right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Juventus or draw 80%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Both teams to score 51%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Cagliari form →Juventus form →