How it finished
Osasuna beat Celta Vigo 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Celta Vigo at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Osasuna 25%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Celta Vigo had 4 shots (2 on target) to Osasuna's 13 (5), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 0.1 to 2.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?
Osasuna beat Celta Vigo 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Celta Vigo at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Osasuna 25%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Celta Vigo had 4 shots (2 on target) to Osasuna's 13 (5), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 0.1 to 2.7.
What was the final score in Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?
Celta Vigo 1–2 Osasuna, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Celta Vigo 49%, the draw 27% and Osasuna 25%.
What were the stats in Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 0.1–2.7, Shots 4–13, Shots on target 2–5, Shots inside box 1–9, Big chances 0–2, Corners 5–3, Saves 2–1, Fouls 7–16, Offsides 3–4, Yellow cards 0–1, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?
Yes — both Celta Vigo and Osasuna scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Celta Vigo vs Osasuna right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Celta Vigo or draw 75%, it finished Osasuna won (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Landed.