Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander prediction — LaLiga · Sat 19 Sept · 17:30 UK

LaLiga · Sat 19 Sept · 17:30 UK
Celta Vigo 54Draw 24Racing Santander 23
Our call before kickoff
77%
Celta Vigo or draw
Landed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 5–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
81%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
59%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
59%

How it finished

Celta Vigo beat Racing Santander 5–0. Bawler's model had Celta Vigo in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. Celta Vigo had 13 shots (9 on target) to Racing Santander's 11 (5), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 0.6.

Celta VigoFull-time statsRacing…
41%Possession59%
2.1Expected goals (xG)0.6
13Shots11
9Shots on target5
8Shots inside box6
3Big chances1
3Corners3
5Saves4
13Fouls11
3Offsides1
2Yellow cards5
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callCelta Vigo or draw 77%Celta Vigo won (54% called)
Total goals3.15
Both teams to score59%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 81%Landed
Second pickCelta Vigo to win 54%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Celta VigoRacing Santander
1.9
Goals+0.7
1.2
20.8
Shots+9.6
11.2
4.3
On target+0.2
4.1
4.9
Corners+0.2
4.7
Celta VigoRacing Santander
0.6
Goals
0.6
8.8
Shots+3.2
5.6
1.9
On target+0.3
2.2
2.3
Corners+0.1
2.2
Celta VigoRacing Santander
1.3
Goals+0.7
0.6
12.0
Shots+6.4
5.6
2.4
On target+0.6
1.8
2.6
Corners+0.1
2.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Celta Vigo to score85%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Racing Santander to score69%
Under 3.5 goals63%

First half — what we expected

Celta Vigo
56%
to score before half-time
Racing Santander
56%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 81%

Celta VigoRacing Santander
8.81st-half shots5.6
1.91st-half shots on target2.2
2.31st-half corners2.2

First-half chances

60%Chance of 8+ shots24%
39%Chance of 10+ shots10%
81%Chance of 1+ shots on target86%
30%Chance of 3+ shots on target38%
86%Chance of 1+ corners84%
39%Chance of 3+ corners37%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Celta Vigo8.812.0
Shots · Racing Santander5.65.6
Shots on target · Celta Vigo1.92.4
Shots on target · Racing Santander2.21.8
Corners · Celta Vigo2.32.6
Corners · Racing Santander2.22.5
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 1Celta Vigo 1 · Draws 0 · Racing Santander 0
Racing Santander in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Jan 2025Racing Santander 2–3 Celta Vigo
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?

Celta Vigo beat Racing Santander 5–0. Bawler's model had Celta Vigo in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. Celta Vigo had 13 shots (9 on target) to Racing Santander's 11 (5), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 0.6.

What was the final score in Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?

Celta Vigo 5–0 Racing Santander, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Celta Vigo 54%, the draw 24% and Racing Santander 23%.

What were the stats in Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?

Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–0.6, Shots 13–11, Shots on target 9–5, Shots inside box 8–6, Big chances 3–1, Corners 3–3, Saves 5–4, Fouls 13–11, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 2–5.

Did both teams score in Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?

No. It finished 5–0, so Racing Santander failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Celta Vigo or draw 77%, it finished Celta Vigo won (54% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Celta Vigo to win 54%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Celta Vigo form →Racing Santander form →