Celta Vigo beat Racing Santander 5–0. Bawler's model had Celta Vigo in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. Celta Vigo had 13 shots (9 on target) to Racing Santander's 11 (5), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 0.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 81%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Celta Vigo beat Racing Santander 5–0. Bawler's model had Celta Vigo in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. Celta Vigo had 13 shots (9 on target) to Racing Santander's 11 (5), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 0.6.
Celta Vigo 5–0 Racing Santander, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Celta Vigo 54%, the draw 24% and Racing Santander 23%.
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–0.6, Shots 13–11, Shots on target 9–5, Shots inside box 8–6, Big chances 3–1, Corners 3–3, Saves 5–4, Fouls 13–11, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 2–5.
No. It finished 5–0, so Racing Santander failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Celta Vigo or draw 77%, it finished Celta Vigo won (54% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Celta Vigo to win 54%, it finished Landed.