Columbus Crew beat CF Montréal 2–0. Bawler's model had Columbus Crew in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. CF Montréal had 9 shots (2 on target) to Columbus Crew's 13 (3), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 0.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 81%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Columbus Crew beat CF Montréal 2–0. Bawler's model had Columbus Crew in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. CF Montréal had 9 shots (2 on target) to Columbus Crew's 13 (3), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 0.9.
CF Montréal 0–2 Columbus Crew, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with CF Montréal 37%, the draw 26% and Columbus Crew 37%.
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–0.9, Shots 9–13, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 8–6, Big chances 0–1, Corners 5–1, Saves 1–2, Fouls 20–11, Offsides 5–0, Yellow cards 2–1.
No. It finished 0–2, so CF Montréal failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Columbus Crew or draw 63%, it finished Columbus Crew won (37% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 55%, it finished Missed.