CF Montréal vs Columbus Crew prediction — MLS · Sun 20 Sept · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 20 Sept · 00:30 UK
CF Montréal 37Draw 26Columbus Crew 37
Our call before kickoff
63%
Columbus Crew or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
81%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
55%

How it finished

Columbus Crew beat CF Montréal 2–0. Bawler's model had Columbus Crew in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. CF Montréal had 9 shots (2 on target) to Columbus Crew's 13 (3), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 0.9.

CF MontréalFull-time statsColumbus Crew
55%Possession45%
0.5Expected goals (xG)0.9
9Shots13
2Shots on target3
8Shots inside box6
0Big chances1
5Corners1
1Saves2
20Fouls11
5Offsides0
2Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callColumbus Crew or draw 63%Columbus Crew won (37% called)
Total goals2.92
Both teams to score58%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 78%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 55%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

CF MontréalColumbus Crew
1.4
Goals
1.4
11.5
Shots+2.7
14.1
4.6
On target+0.1
4.5
4.5
Corners+0.9
5.4
CF MontréalColumbus Crew
0.6
Goals+0.1
0.5
5.3
Shots+1.1
6.5
2.2
On target+0.1
2.1
2.1
Corners+0.4
2.5
CF MontréalColumbus Crew
0.8
Goals+0.1
0.9
6.2
Shots+1.5
7.7
2.4
On target
2.4
2.4
Corners+0.5
2.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals78%
Columbus Crew to score76%
CF Montréal to score76%
Under 3.5 goals67%

First half — what we expected

CF Montréal
60%
to score before half-time
Columbus Crew
54%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 81%

CF MontréalColumbus Crew
5.31st-half shots6.5
2.21st-half shots on target2.1
2.11st-half corners2.5

First-half chances

56%Chance of 5+ shots70%
30%Chance of 7+ shots45%
85%Chance of 1+ shots on target84%
36%Chance of 3+ shots on target35%
58%Chance of 2+ corners67%
19%Chance of 4+ corners26%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · CF Montréal5.36.2
Shots · Columbus Crew6.57.7
Shots on target · CF Montréal2.22.4
Shots on target · Columbus Crew2.12.4
Corners · CF Montréal2.12.4
Corners · Columbus Crew2.52.9
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5CF Montréal 1 · Draws 2 · Columbus Crew 2
Columbus Crew in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Aug 2026Columbus Crew 1–2 CF Montréal
May 2025CF Montréal 1–1 Columbus Crew
Apr 2025Columbus Crew 2–1 CF Montréal
May 2024CF Montréal 1–3 Columbus Crew
Apr 2024Columbus Crew 0–0 CF Montréal
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won CF Montréal vs Columbus Crew?

Columbus Crew beat CF Montréal 2–0. Bawler's model had Columbus Crew in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. CF Montréal had 9 shots (2 on target) to Columbus Crew's 13 (3), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 0.9.

What was the final score in CF Montréal vs Columbus Crew?

CF Montréal 0–2 Columbus Crew, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with CF Montréal 37%, the draw 26% and Columbus Crew 37%.

What were the stats in CF Montréal vs Columbus Crew?

Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–0.9, Shots 9–13, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 8–6, Big chances 0–1, Corners 5–1, Saves 1–2, Fouls 20–11, Offsides 5–0, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in CF Montréal vs Columbus Crew?

No. It finished 0–2, so CF Montréal failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for CF Montréal vs Columbus Crew right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Columbus Crew or draw 63%, it finished Columbus Crew won (37% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 55%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →CF Montréal form →Columbus Crew form →