How it finished
Chicago Fire FC beat Charlotte FC 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Charlotte FC at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Chicago Fire FC 35%. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 1 was scored. Charlotte FC had 11 shots (2 on target) to Chicago Fire FC's 18 (8), with 41% of the ball against 59%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 1.1, so Charlotte FC created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire FC?
Chicago Fire FC beat Charlotte FC 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Charlotte FC at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Chicago Fire FC 35%. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 1 was scored. Charlotte FC had 11 shots (2 on target) to Chicago Fire FC's 18 (8), with 41% of the ball against 59%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 1.1, so Charlotte FC created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire FC?
Charlotte FC 0–1 Chicago Fire FC, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Charlotte FC 40%, the draw 25% and Chicago Fire FC 35%.
What were the stats in Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire FC?
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.1, Shots 11–18, Shots on target 2–8, Shots inside box 8–8, Big chances 4–2, Corners 4–6, Saves 8–2, Fouls 14–15, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 6–2, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire FC?
No. It finished 0–1, so Charlotte FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Charlotte FC or draw 65%, it finished Chicago Fire FC won (35% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Missed.