Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders FC prediction — MLS · Sun 20 Sept · 02:30 UK

MLS · Sun 20 Sept · 02:30 UK
Colorado Rapids 40Draw 26Seattle Sounders FC 33
Our call before kickoff
67%
Colorado Rapids or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–3
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
71%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
55%

How it finished

Colorado Rapids and Seattle Sounders FC drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Colorado Rapids at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 6. Colorado Rapids had 18 shots (7 on target) to Seattle Sounders FC's 16 (6), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.0.

Colorado…Full-time statsSeattle…
47%Possession53%
1.7Expected goals (xG)1.0
18Shots16
7Shots on target6
15Shots inside box10
2Big chances0
4Corners6
3Saves4
17Fouls14
3Offsides2
1Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callColorado Rapids or draw 67%Draw (26% called)
Total goals2.96
Both teams to score58%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 79%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Colorado RapidsSeattle Sounders FC
1.5
Goals+0.2
1.4
15.7
Shots+4.9
10.8
4.2
On target+0.1
4.3
4.9
Corners+0.6
4.3
Colorado RapidsSeattle Sounders FC
0.4
Goals
0.5
7.0
Shots+2.3
4.7
1.9
On target
1.8
2.3
Corners+0.3
2.0
Colorado RapidsSeattle Sounders FC
1.1
Goals+0.2
0.9
8.7
Shots+2.6
6.1
2.3
On target+0.1
2.5
2.6
Corners+0.3
2.3

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals79%
Colorado Rapids to score78%
Seattle Sounders FC to score75%
Under 3.5 goals67%

First half — what we expected

Colorado Rapids
44%
to score before half-time
Seattle Sounders FC
47%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%

Colorado RapidsSeattle Sounders FC
7.01st-half shots4.7
1.91st-half shots on target1.8
2.31st-half corners2.0

First-half chances

64%Chance of 6+ shots34%
40%Chance of 8+ shots15%
80%Chance of 1+ shots on target80%
29%Chance of 3+ shots on target28%
86%Chance of 1+ corners82%
39%Chance of 3+ corners33%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Colorado Rapids7.08.7
Shots · Seattle Sounders FC4.76.1
Shots on target · Colorado Rapids1.92.3
Shots on target · Seattle Sounders FC1.82.5
Corners · Colorado Rapids2.32.6
Corners · Seattle Sounders FC2.02.3
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Colorado Rapids 0 · Draws 3 · Seattle Sounders FC 2
Seattle Sounders FC in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Feb 2026Seattle Sounders FC 2–0 Colorado Rapids
Jul 2025Seattle Sounders FC 3–3 Colorado Rapids
Apr 2025Colorado Rapids 1–1 Seattle Sounders FC
Oct 2024Colorado Rapids 0–1 Seattle Sounders FC
Mar 2024Seattle Sounders FC 1–1 Colorado Rapids
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders FC?

Colorado Rapids and Seattle Sounders FC drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Colorado Rapids at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 6. Colorado Rapids had 18 shots (7 on target) to Seattle Sounders FC's 16 (6), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.0.

What was the final score in Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders FC?

Colorado Rapids 3–3 Seattle Sounders FC, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Colorado Rapids 40%, the draw 26% and Seattle Sounders FC 33%.

What were the stats in Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders FC?

Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.0, Shots 18–16, Shots on target 7–6, Shots inside box 15–10, Big chances 2–0, Corners 4–6, Saves 3–4, Fouls 17–14, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders FC?

Yes — both Colorado Rapids and Seattle Sounders FC scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Colorado Rapids or draw 67%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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