How it finished
Real Madrid beat Elche 3–2. Bawler's model had Real Madrid in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. Elche had 11 shots (3 on target) to Real Madrid's 20 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 3.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Elche vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid beat Elche 3–2. Bawler's model had Real Madrid in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. Elche had 11 shots (3 on target) to Real Madrid's 20 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 3.6.
What was the final score in Elche vs Real Madrid?
Elche 2–3 Real Madrid, played on 15 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Elche 22%, the draw 23% and Real Madrid 54%.
What were the stats in Elche vs Real Madrid?
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–3.6, Shots 11–20, Shots on target 3–4, Shots inside box 7–15, Big chances 1–5, Corners 2–5, Saves 2–1, Fouls 21–8, Offsides 1–5, Yellow cards 4–2.
Did both teams score in Elche vs Real Madrid?
Yes — both Elche and Real Madrid scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Elche vs Real Madrid right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Real Madrid or draw 78%, it finished Real Madrid won (54% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Real Madrid to win 54%, it finished Landed.