How it finished
Elche beat Espanyol 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Espanyol at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Elche 25%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Espanyol had 23 shots (4 on target) to Elche's 9 (6), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 64%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Espanyol vs Elche?
Elche beat Espanyol 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Espanyol at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Elche 25%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Espanyol had 23 shots (4 on target) to Elche's 9 (6), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.4.
What was the final score in Espanyol vs Elche?
Espanyol 1–3 Elche, played on 18 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Espanyol 50%, the draw 25% and Elche 25%.
What were the stats in Espanyol vs Elche?
Full-time: Possession 66%–34%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–1.4, Shots 23–9, Shots on target 4–6, Shots inside box 13–6, Big chances 2–3, Corners 3–3, Saves 3–4, Fouls 14–9, Offsides 9–2, Yellow cards 2–2, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Espanyol vs Elche?
Yes — both Espanyol and Elche scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Espanyol vs Elche right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Espanyol or draw 75%, it finished Elche won (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.