Espanyol vs Sevilla prediction — LaLiga · Sun 6 Sept · 20:00 UK

LaLiga · Sun 6 Sept · 20:00 UK
Espanyol 49Draw 26Sevilla 25
Our call before kickoff
75%
Espanyol or draw
Landed
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
61%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
53%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
51%

How it finished

Espanyol and Sevilla drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Espanyol at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Espanyol had 12 shots (3 on target) to Sevilla's 6 (3), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 0.5.

EspanyolFull-time statsSevilla
56%Possession44%
1.2Expected goals (xG)0.5
12Shots6
3Shots on target3
7Shots inside box3
4Big chances1
0Corners4
2Saves2
17Fouls13
5Offsides2
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callEspanyol or draw 75%Draw (26% called)
Total goals2.72
Both teams to score53%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 75%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

EspanyolSevilla
1.6
Goals+0.5
1.1
14.1
Shots+1.2
12.9
5.5
On target+1.1
4.4
5.7
Corners+0.3
5.4
EspanyolSevilla
0.4
Goals+0.1
0.3
6.4
Shots+0.5
5.9
2.5
On target+0.7
1.9
2.7
Corners+0.1
2.5
EspanyolSevilla
1.2
Goals+0.4
0.8
7.7
Shots+0.7
7.0
3.0
On target+0.5
2.5
3.0
Corners+0.2
2.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Espanyol to score80%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Under 3.5 goals71%
Sevilla to score66%

First half — what we expected

Espanyol
44%
to score before half-time
Sevilla
30%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 61%

EspanyolSevilla
6.41st-half shots5.9
2.51st-half shots on target1.9
2.71st-half corners2.5

First-half chances

70%Chance of 5+ shots63%
44%Chance of 7+ shots37%
68%Chance of 2+ shots on target53%
26%Chance of 4+ shots on target14%
69%Chance of 2+ corners67%
29%Chance of 4+ corners27%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Espanyol6.47.7
Shots · Sevilla5.97.0
Shots on target · Espanyol2.53.0
Shots on target · Sevilla1.92.5
Corners · Espanyol2.73.0
Corners · Sevilla2.52.9
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Espanyol 1 · Draws 1 · Sevilla 3
Sevilla in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

May 2026Sevilla 2–1 Espanyol
Nov 2025Espanyol 2–1 Sevilla
Jan 2025Sevilla 1–1 Espanyol
Oct 2024Espanyol 0–2 Sevilla
May 2023Sevilla 3–2 Espanyol
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Espanyol vs Sevilla?

Espanyol and Sevilla drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Espanyol at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Espanyol had 12 shots (3 on target) to Sevilla's 6 (3), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 0.5.

What was the final score in Espanyol vs Sevilla?

Espanyol 1–1 Sevilla, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Espanyol 49%, the draw 26% and Sevilla 25%.

What were the stats in Espanyol vs Sevilla?

Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–0.5, Shots 12–6, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 7–3, Big chances 4–1, Corners 0–4, Saves 2–2, Fouls 17–13, Offsides 5–2, Yellow cards 2–4, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Espanyol vs Sevilla?

Yes — both Espanyol and Sevilla scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Espanyol vs Sevilla right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Espanyol or draw 75%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 75%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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