How it finished
Everton beat Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–0. Bawler's model had Everton in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Everton had 16 shots (6 on target) to Wolverhampton Wanderers' 6 (2), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 65%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Everton beat Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–0. Bawler's model had Everton in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Everton had 16 shots (6 on target) to Wolverhampton Wanderers' 6 (2), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.3.
What was the final score in Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Everton 1–0 Wolverhampton Wanderers, played on 16 Sept 2026 in the England: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Everton 54%, the draw 25% and Wolverhampton Wanderers 21%.
What were the stats in Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–0.3, Shots 16–6, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 10–2, Big chances 5–0, Corners 6–2, Saves 2–5, Fouls 13–13, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
No. It finished 1–0, so Wolverhampton Wanderers failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Everton or draw 79%, it finished Everton won (54% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No.