FC Dallas and Austin FC drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured FC Dallas at 57% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 3.0 goals; nobody scored. FC Dallas had 12 shots (4 on target) to Austin FC's 8 (3), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 81%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
FC Dallas and Austin FC drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured FC Dallas at 57% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 3.0 goals; nobody scored. FC Dallas had 12 shots (4 on target) to Austin FC's 8 (3), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.3.
FC Dallas 0–0 Austin FC, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Dallas 57%, the draw 23% and Austin FC 20%.
Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–0.3, Shots 12–8, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 7–3, Big chances 2–0, Corners 8–6, Saves 3–4, Fouls 6–6, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 2–2.
No. It finished 0–0, so FC Dallas failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Dallas or draw 80%, it finished Draw (23% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Missed.