How it finished
FC Groningen and FC Twente drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured FC Twente at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. FC Groningen had 21 shots (4 on target) to FC Twente's 16 (5), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 2.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won FC Groningen vs FC Twente?
FC Groningen and FC Twente drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured FC Twente at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. FC Groningen had 21 shots (4 on target) to FC Twente's 16 (5), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 2.3.
What was the final score in FC Groningen vs FC Twente?
FC Groningen 2–2 FC Twente, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Groningen 31%, the draw 25% and FC Twente 44%.
What were the stats in FC Groningen vs FC Twente?
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–2.3, Shots 21–16, Shots on target 4–5, Shots inside box 13–12, Big chances 3–6, Corners 8–2, Saves 3–2, Fouls 6–8, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in FC Groningen vs FC Twente?
Yes — both FC Groningen and FC Twente scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for FC Groningen vs FC Twente right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Twente or draw 69%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Landed.