How it finished
Crystal Palace beat Fulham 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Fulham at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Crystal Palace 35%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Fulham had 25 shots (6 on target) to Crystal Palace's 10 (5), with 65% of the ball against 35%. On expected goals it was 3.1 to 2.0, so Fulham created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
Crystal Palace beat Fulham 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Fulham at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Crystal Palace 35%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Fulham had 25 shots (6 on target) to Crystal Palace's 10 (5), with 65% of the ball against 35%. On expected goals it was 3.1 to 2.0, so Fulham created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
Fulham 2–3 Crystal Palace, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Fulham 38%, the draw 27% and Crystal Palace 35%.
What were the stats in Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
Full-time: Possession 65%–35%, Expected goals (xG) 3.1–2.0, Shots 25–10, Shots on target 6–5, Shots inside box 22–7, Big chances 2–6, Corners 7–1, Saves 2–5, Fouls 6–7, Offsides 1–6.
Did both teams score in Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
Yes — both Fulham and Crystal Palace scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Fulham vs Crystal Palace right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Fulham or draw 65%, it finished Crystal Palace won (35% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Landed.