How it finished
Hibernian and Aberdeen drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Hibernian at 61% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Hibernian had 12 shots (2 on target) to Aberdeen's 9 (2), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Hibernian vs Aberdeen?
Hibernian and Aberdeen drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Hibernian at 61% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Hibernian had 12 shots (2 on target) to Aberdeen's 9 (2), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 0.8.
What was the final score in Hibernian vs Aberdeen?
Hibernian 1–1 Aberdeen, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Hibernian 61%, the draw 23% and Aberdeen 16%.
What were the stats in Hibernian vs Aberdeen?
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–0.8, Shots 12–9, Shots on target 2–2, Shots inside box 8–3, Big chances 2–2, Corners 6–9, Saves 1–2, Fouls 12–11, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Hibernian vs Aberdeen?
Yes — both Hibernian and Aberdeen scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Hibernian vs Aberdeen right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Hibernian to win 61%, it finished Draw (23% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Missed.