How it finished
Houston Dynamo FC and FC Cincinnati drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Houston Dynamo FC at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Houston Dynamo FC had 7 shots (2 on target) to FC Cincinnati's 26 (8), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 2.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Houston Dynamo FC vs FC Cincinnati?
Houston Dynamo FC and FC Cincinnati drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Houston Dynamo FC at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Houston Dynamo FC had 7 shots (2 on target) to FC Cincinnati's 26 (8), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 2.7.
What was the final score in Houston Dynamo FC vs FC Cincinnati?
Houston Dynamo FC 2–2 FC Cincinnati, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Houston Dynamo FC 47%, the draw 25% and FC Cincinnati 28%.
What were the stats in Houston Dynamo FC vs FC Cincinnati?
Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–2.7, Shots 7–26, Shots on target 2–8, Shots inside box 5–15, Big chances 2–3, Corners 3–7, Saves 6–0, Fouls 7–13, Offsides 0–2.
Did both teams score in Houston Dynamo FC vs FC Cincinnati?
Yes — both Houston Dynamo FC and FC Cincinnati scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Houston Dynamo FC vs FC Cincinnati right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Houston Dynamo FC or draw 72%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.