How it finished
Hull City and Aston Villa drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Aston Villa at 65% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 20%. It forecast 3.1 goals; nobody scored. Hull City had 11 shots (4 on target) to Aston Villa's 13 (1), with 27% of the ball against 73%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Hull City vs Aston Villa?
Hull City and Aston Villa drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Aston Villa at 65% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 20%. It forecast 3.1 goals; nobody scored. Hull City had 11 shots (4 on target) to Aston Villa's 13 (1), with 27% of the ball against 73%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.7.
What was the final score in Hull City vs Aston Villa?
Hull City 0–0 Aston Villa, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Hull City 14%, the draw 20% and Aston Villa 65%.
What were the stats in Hull City vs Aston Villa?
Full-time: Possession 27%–73%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.7, Shots 11–13, Shots on target 4–1, Shots inside box 4–10, Big chances 2–3, Corners 3–4, Saves 1–4, Fouls 10–5, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–0.
Did both teams score in Hull City vs Aston Villa?
No. It finished 0–0, so Hull City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Hull City vs Aston Villa right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Aston Villa to win 65%, it finished Draw (20% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No.