Juventus and AC Milan drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Juventus at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Juventus had 14 shots (5 on target) to AC Milan's 3 (1), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 0.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 61%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Juventus and AC Milan drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Juventus at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Juventus had 14 shots (5 on target) to AC Milan's 3 (1), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 0.1.
Juventus 1–1 AC Milan, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Juventus 50%, the draw 25% and AC Milan 25%.
Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–0.1, Shots 14–3, Shots on target 5–1, Shots inside box 6–1, Big chances 3–0, Corners 7–1, Saves 0–4, Fouls 10–11, Offsides 5–1, Yellow cards 1–3.
Yes — both Juventus and AC Milan scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Juventus or draw 75%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Missed.