Lyon vs Stade Rennais prediction — Ligue 1 · Sat 19 Sept · 19:45 UK

Ligue 1 · Sat 19 Sept · 19:45 UK
Lyon 51Draw 24Stade Rennais 26
Our call before kickoff
74%
Lyon or draw
Landed
3.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 4–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
76%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
62%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
62%

How it finished

Lyon beat Stade Rennais 4–0. Bawler's model had Lyon in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Lyon had 15 shots (9 on target) to Stade Rennais' 13 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%.

LyonFull-time statsStade Rennais
45%Possession55%
15Shots13
9Shots on target4
3Corners8
4Saves5
13Fouls14
2Offsides0
4Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callLyon or draw 74%Lyon won (51% called)
Total goals3.24
Both teams to score62%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 83%Landed
Second pickLyon to win 51%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

LyonStade Rennais
1.9
Goals+0.6
1.3
LyonStade Rennais
0.6
Goals+0.1
0.4
LyonStade Rennais
1.3
Goals+0.5
0.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Lyon to score85%
Over 1.5 goals83%
Stade Rennais to score73%
Over 2.5 goals62%

First half — what we expected

Lyon
57%
to score before half-time
Stade Rennais
44%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.6 / match
Stade Rennais in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Lyon vs Stade Rennais?

Lyon beat Stade Rennais 4–0. Bawler's model had Lyon in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Lyon had 15 shots (9 on target) to Stade Rennais' 13 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%.

What was the final score in Lyon vs Stade Rennais?

Lyon 4–0 Stade Rennais, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lyon 51%, the draw 24% and Stade Rennais 26%.

What were the stats in Lyon vs Stade Rennais?

Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Shots 15–13, Shots on target 9–4, Corners 3–8, Saves 4–5, Fouls 13–14, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 4–2.

Did both teams score in Lyon vs Stade Rennais?

No. It finished 4–0, so Stade Rennais failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Lyon vs Stade Rennais right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lyon or draw 74%, it finished Lyon won (51% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Lyon to win 51%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →
All fixtures & results →Lyon form →Stade Rennais form →