Málaga vs Levante prediction — LaLiga · Sun 6 Sept · 17:30 UK

LaLiga · Sun 6 Sept · 17:30 UK
Málaga 43Draw 26Levante 31
Our call before kickoff
69%
Málaga or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
72%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
55%

How it finished

Málaga and Levante drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Málaga at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; nobody scored. Málaga had 10 shots (3 on target) to Levante's 11 (3), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.8.

MálagaFull-time statsLevante
63%Possession37%
1.5Expected goals (xG)0.8
10Shots11
3Shots on target3
7Shots inside box5
2Big chances2
6Corners4
3Saves3
15Fouls11
3Offsides0
4Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callMálaga or draw 69%Draw (26% called)
Total goals2.90
Both teams to score58%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 79%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

MálagaLevante
1.6
Goals+0.3
1.3
16.5
Shots+5.1
11.4
4.4
On target+0.4
4.7
7.2
Corners+2.4
4.8
MálagaLevante
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
7.5
Shots+2.5
5.1
2.0
On target+0.1
2.1
3.4
Corners+1.1
2.3
MálagaLevante
1.1
Goals+0.2
0.9
9.0
Shots+2.7
6.3
2.4
On target+0.2
2.6
3.8
Corners+1.3
2.6

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Málaga to score80%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Levante to score73%
Under 3.5 goals67%

First half — what we expected

Málaga
50%
to score before half-time
Levante
43%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%

MálagaLevante
7.51st-half shots5.1
2.01st-half shots on target2.1
3.41st-half corners2.3

First-half chances

58%Chance of 7+ shots27%
35%Chance of 9+ shots12%
82%Chance of 1+ shots on target84%
31%Chance of 3+ shots on target35%
80%Chance of 2+ corners61%
42%Chance of 4+ corners22%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Málaga7.59.0
Shots · Levante5.16.3
Shots on target · Málaga2.02.4
Shots on target · Levante2.12.6
Corners · Málaga3.43.8
Corners · Levante2.32.6
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Málaga 0 · Draws 2 · Levante 3
Levante in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Feb 2025Málaga 1–1 Levante
Nov 2024Levante 4–2 Málaga
Mar 2023Málaga 0–0 Levante
Dec 2022Levante 1–0 Málaga
Apr 2018Levante 1–0 Málaga
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Málaga vs Levante?

Málaga and Levante drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Málaga at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; nobody scored. Málaga had 10 shots (3 on target) to Levante's 11 (3), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.8.

What was the final score in Málaga vs Levante?

Málaga 0–0 Levante, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Málaga 43%, the draw 26% and Levante 31%.

What were the stats in Málaga vs Levante?

Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–0.8, Shots 10–11, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 7–5, Big chances 2–2, Corners 6–4, Saves 3–3, Fouls 15–11, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 4–2.

Did both teams score in Málaga vs Levante?

No. It finished 0–0, so Málaga failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Málaga vs Levante right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Málaga or draw 69%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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