How it finished
Middlesbrough beat Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–0. Bawler's model had Middlesbrough in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Middlesbrough had 14 shots (6 on target) to Wolverhampton Wanderers' 12 (2), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 69%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Middlesbrough beat Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–0. Bawler's model had Middlesbrough in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Middlesbrough had 14 shots (6 on target) to Wolverhampton Wanderers' 12 (2), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.6.
What was the final score in Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Middlesbrough 1–0 Wolverhampton Wanderers, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Middlesbrough 42%, the draw 27% and Wolverhampton Wanderers 31%.
What were the stats in Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.6, Shots 14–12, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 7–6, Big chances 0–1, Corners 4–6, Saves 2–5, Fouls 11–12, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 3–3.
Did both teams score in Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
No. It finished 1–0, so Wolverhampton Wanderers failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton Wanderers right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Middlesbrough or draw 69%, it finished Middlesbrough won (42% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Missed.