Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire FC prediction — MLS · Sun 20 Sept · 02:30 UK

MLS · Sun 20 Sept · 02:30 UK
Nashville SC 45Draw 25Chicago Fire FC 30
Our call before kickoff
70%
Nashville SC or draw
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
78%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
60%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
58%

How it finished

Nashville SC beat Chicago Fire FC 3–0. Bawler's model had Nashville SC in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Nashville SC had 13 shots (5 on target) to Chicago Fire FC's 9 (1), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.0.

Nashville SCFull-time statsChicago Fire
56%Possession44%
2.1Expected goals (xG)1.0
13Shots9
5Shots on target1
9Shots inside box7
2Big chances1
5Corners2
0Saves3
12Fouls9
4Offsides2
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callNashville SC or draw 70%Nashville SC won (45% called)
Total goals3.03
Both teams to score60%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 80%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Nashville SCChicago Fire FC
1.7
Goals+0.3
1.3
13.8
Shots+2.9
10.9
4.4
On target+0.5
5.0
4.7
Corners+0.6
4.1
Nashville SCChicago Fire FC
0.6
Goals+0.1
0.5
6.9
Shots+1.9
5.0
2.2
On target
2.2
2.2
Corners+0.3
1.9
Nashville SCChicago Fire FC
1.1
Goals+0.2
0.9
6.9
Shots+1.0
5.9
2.2
On target+0.5
2.8
2.5
Corners+0.3
2.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Nashville SC to score81%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Chicago Fire FC to score74%
Under 3.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

Nashville SC
58%
to score before half-time
Chicago Fire FC
48%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%

Nashville SCChicago Fire FC
6.91st-half shots5.0
2.21st-half shots on target2.2
2.21st-half corners1.9

First-half chances

63%Chance of 6+ shots38%
39%Chance of 8+ shots18%
85%Chance of 1+ shots on target85%
37%Chance of 3+ shots on target37%
84%Chance of 1+ corners80%
37%Chance of 3+ corners30%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Nashville SC6.96.9
Shots · Chicago Fire FC5.05.9
Shots on target · Nashville SC2.22.2
Shots on target · Chicago Fire FC2.22.8
Corners · Nashville SC2.22.5
Corners · Chicago Fire FC1.92.2
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Nashville SC 4 · Draws 0 · Chicago Fire FC 1
Chicago Fire FC in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Apr 2026Chicago Fire FC 1–0 Nashville SC
Jun 2025Chicago Fire FC 0–2 Nashville SC
Apr 2025Nashville SC 7–2 Chicago Fire FC
Oct 2024Chicago Fire FC 0–3 Nashville SC
Sept 2024Nashville SC 1–0 Chicago Fire FC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire FC?

Nashville SC beat Chicago Fire FC 3–0. Bawler's model had Nashville SC in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Nashville SC had 13 shots (5 on target) to Chicago Fire FC's 9 (1), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.0.

What was the final score in Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire FC?

Nashville SC 3–0 Chicago Fire FC, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Nashville SC 45%, the draw 25% and Chicago Fire FC 30%.

What were the stats in Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire FC?

Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.0, Shots 13–9, Shots on target 5–1, Shots inside box 9–7, Big chances 2–1, Corners 5–2, Saves 0–3, Fouls 12–9, Offsides 4–2, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire FC?

No. It finished 3–0, so Chicago Fire FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Nashville SC or draw 70%, it finished Nashville SC won (45% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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