Nashville SC beat Chicago Fire FC 3–0. Bawler's model had Nashville SC in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Nashville SC had 13 shots (5 on target) to Chicago Fire FC's 9 (1), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Nashville SC beat Chicago Fire FC 3–0. Bawler's model had Nashville SC in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Nashville SC had 13 shots (5 on target) to Chicago Fire FC's 9 (1), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.0.
Nashville SC 3–0 Chicago Fire FC, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Nashville SC 45%, the draw 25% and Chicago Fire FC 30%.
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.0, Shots 13–9, Shots on target 5–1, Shots inside box 9–7, Big chances 2–1, Corners 5–2, Saves 0–3, Fouls 12–9, Offsides 4–2, Yellow cards 1–1.
No. It finished 3–0, so Chicago Fire FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Nashville SC or draw 70%, it finished Nashville SC won (45% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.