How it finished
Nice beat Strasbourg 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Strasbourg at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Nice 33%. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Nice had 11 shots (6 on target) to Strasbourg's 11 (3), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Nice vs Strasbourg?
Nice beat Strasbourg 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Strasbourg at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Nice 33%. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Nice had 11 shots (6 on target) to Strasbourg's 11 (3), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.5.
What was the final score in Nice vs Strasbourg?
Nice 2–1 Strasbourg, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Nice 33%, the draw 25% and Strasbourg 42%.
What were the stats in Nice vs Strasbourg?
Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.5, Shots 11–11, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 10–4, Big chances 4–0, Corners 2–3, Saves 2–4, Fouls 3–8, Offsides 5–2, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Nice vs Strasbourg?
Yes — both Nice and Strasbourg scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Nice vs Strasbourg right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Strasbourg or draw 67%, it finished Nice won (33% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes.