Osasuna beat Getafe 1–0. Bawler's model had Osasuna in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.2 goals; only 1 was scored. Osasuna had 10 shots (2 on target) to Getafe's 11 (1), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 64%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Osasuna beat Getafe 1–0. Bawler's model had Osasuna in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.2 goals; only 1 was scored. Osasuna had 10 shots (2 on target) to Getafe's 11 (1), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.7.
Osasuna 1–0 Getafe, played on 31 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Osasuna 48%, the draw 29% and Getafe 23%.
Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–0.7, Shots 10–11, Shots on target 2–1, Shots inside box 4–7, Big chances 3–2, Corners 1–3, Saves 1–1, Fouls 17–14, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 5–4.
No. It finished 1–0, so Getafe failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 43% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Osasuna or draw 77%, it finished Osasuna won (48% called); Total goals — we said 2.2, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 43%, it finished No.