How it finished
Portland Timbers beat Minnesota United FC 5–4. Bawler's model had Portland Timbers in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 9. Portland Timbers had 11 shots (5 on target) to Minnesota United FC's 17 (8), with 50% of the ball against 50%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC?
Portland Timbers beat Minnesota United FC 5–4. Bawler's model had Portland Timbers in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 9. Portland Timbers had 11 shots (5 on target) to Minnesota United FC's 17 (8), with 50% of the ball against 50%.
What was the final score in Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC?
Portland Timbers 5–4 Minnesota United FC, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Portland Timbers 41%, the draw 26% and Minnesota United FC 33%.
What were the stats in Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC?
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Shots 11–17, Shots on target 5–8, Corners 4–3, Saves 4–1, Fouls 12–18, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 1–3.
Was Bawler's prediction for Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Portland Timbers or draw 67%, it finished Portland Timbers won (41% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 9; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.