Rangers beat Motherwell 1–0. Bawler's model had Rangers in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. Rangers had 27 shots (6 on target) to Motherwell's 8 (3), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 3.9 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Rangers beat Motherwell 1–0. Bawler's model had Rangers in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. Rangers had 27 shots (6 on target) to Motherwell's 8 (3), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 3.9 to 0.5.
Rangers 1–0 Motherwell, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Rangers 54%, the draw 24% and Motherwell 22%.
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 3.9–0.5, Shots 27–8, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 22–7, Big chances 5–0, Corners 7–5, Saves 3–4, Fouls 7–12, Offsides 0–0.
No. It finished 1–0, so Motherwell failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Rangers or draw 78%, it finished Rangers won (54% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Rangers to win 54%, it finished Landed.