Real Sociedad beat Espanyol 2–1. Bawler's model had Real Sociedad in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Real Sociedad had 17 shots (10 on target) to Espanyol's 11 (3), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Real Sociedad beat Espanyol 2–1. Bawler's model had Real Sociedad in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Real Sociedad had 17 shots (10 on target) to Espanyol's 11 (3), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.8.
Real Sociedad 2–1 Espanyol, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Sociedad 50%, the draw 25% and Espanyol 26%.
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–0.8, Shots 17–11, Shots on target 10–3, Shots inside box 13–6, Big chances 5–1, Corners 7–3, Saves 2–7, Fouls 19–14, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 2–4.
Yes — both Real Sociedad and Espanyol scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Real Sociedad or draw 74%, it finished Real Sociedad won (50% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.