Real Sociedad vs Espanyol prediction — LaLiga · Sat 29 Aug · 18:00 UK

LaLiga · Sat 29 Aug · 18:00 UK
Real Sociedad 50Draw 25Espanyol 26
Our call before kickoff
74%
Real Sociedad or draw
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
66%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
59%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
59%

How it finished

Real Sociedad beat Espanyol 2–1. Bawler's model had Real Sociedad in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Real Sociedad had 17 shots (10 on target) to Espanyol's 11 (3), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.8.

Real SociedadFull-time statsEspanyol
51%Possession49%
1.7Expected goals (xG)0.8
17Shots11
10Shots on target3
13Shots inside box6
5Big chances1
7Corners3
2Saves7
19Fouls14
0Offsides0
2Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callReal Sociedad or draw 74%Real Sociedad won (50% called)
Total goals3.03
Both teams to score59%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 81%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Real SociedadEspanyol
1.8
Goals+0.6
1.2
15.8
Shots+2.2
13.6
6.1
On target+1.8
4.4
6.1
Corners+1.1
5.0
Real SociedadEspanyol
0.5
Goals+0.2
0.3
7.1
Shots+1.1
5.9
2.7
On target+0.8
1.9
2.9
Corners+0.5
2.4
Real SociedadEspanyol
1.3
Goals+0.4
0.9
8.7
Shots+1.1
7.6
3.4
On target+1.0
2.4
3.2
Corners+0.6
2.7

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Real Sociedad to score83%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Espanyol to score71%
Under 3.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

Real Sociedad
49%
to score before half-time
Espanyol
33%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%

Real SociedadEspanyol
7.11st-half shots5.9
2.71st-half shots on target1.9
2.91st-half corners2.4

First-half chances

65%Chance of 6+ shots51%
41%Chance of 8+ shots28%
72%Chance of 2+ shots on target54%
30%Chance of 4+ shots on target15%
73%Chance of 2+ corners63%
33%Chance of 4+ corners23%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Real Sociedad7.18.7
Shots · Espanyol5.97.6
Shots on target · Real Sociedad2.73.4
Shots on target · Espanyol1.92.4
Corners · Real Sociedad2.93.2
Corners · Espanyol2.42.7
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Real Sociedad 3 · Draws 2 · Espanyol 0
Espanyol in their league tableLower half

Head to head

May 2026Espanyol 1–1 Real Sociedad
Aug 2025Real Sociedad 2–2 Espanyol
Feb 2025Real Sociedad 2–1 Espanyol
Aug 2024Espanyol 0–1 Real Sociedad
Feb 2023Espanyol 2–3 Real Sociedad
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Real Sociedad vs Espanyol?

Real Sociedad beat Espanyol 2–1. Bawler's model had Real Sociedad in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Real Sociedad had 17 shots (10 on target) to Espanyol's 11 (3), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.8.

What was the final score in Real Sociedad vs Espanyol?

Real Sociedad 2–1 Espanyol, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Sociedad 50%, the draw 25% and Espanyol 26%.

What were the stats in Real Sociedad vs Espanyol?

Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–0.8, Shots 17–11, Shots on target 10–3, Shots inside box 13–6, Big chances 5–1, Corners 7–3, Saves 2–7, Fouls 19–14, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 2–4.

Did both teams score in Real Sociedad vs Espanyol?

Yes — both Real Sociedad and Espanyol scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Real Sociedad vs Espanyol right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Real Sociedad or draw 74%, it finished Real Sociedad won (50% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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