Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce prediction — Süper Lig · Sun 30 Aug · 19:30 UK

Süper Lig · Sun 30 Aug · 19:30 UK
Samsunspor 30Draw 26Fenerbahce 45
Our call before kickoff
71%
Fenerbahce or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
73%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
56%

How it finished

Fenerbahce beat Samsunspor 2–0. Bawler's model had Fenerbahce in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Samsunspor had 6 shots (0 on target) to Fenerbahce's 15 (7), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.6.

SamsunsporFull-time statsFenerbahce
58%Possession42%
0.5Expected goals (xG)1.6
6Shots15
0Shots on target7
3Shots inside box13
0Big chances3
1Corners6
5Saves0
13Fouls18
3Offsides2
0Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callFenerbahce or draw 71%Fenerbahce won (45% called)
Total goals2.92
Both teams to score58%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 79%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

SamsunsporFenerbahce
1.3
Goals+0.3
1.6
10.7
Shots+0.6
11.3
3.5
On target+0.5
4.0
4.2
Corners+0.1
4.3
SamsunsporFenerbahce
0.4
Goals+0.2
0.6
4.6
Shots+0.6
5.2
1.5
On target+0.2
1.8
2.0
Corners
2.0
SamsunsporFenerbahce
0.9
Goals+0.2
1.1
6.1
Shots
6.1
2.0
On target+0.3
2.3
2.2
Corners+0.1
2.3

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Fenerbahce to score81%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Samsunspor to score72%
Under 3.5 goals66%

First half — what we expected

Samsunspor
39%
to score before half-time
Fenerbahce
56%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%

SamsunsporFenerbahce
4.61st-half shots5.2
1.51st-half shots on target1.8
2.01st-half corners2.0

First-half chances

61%Chance of 4+ shots69%
33%Chance of 6+ shots41%
74%Chance of 1+ shots on target79%
22%Chance of 3+ shots on target27%
81%Chance of 1+ corners82%
32%Chance of 3+ corners33%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Samsunspor4.66.1
Shots · Fenerbahce5.26.1
Shots on target · Samsunspor1.52.0
Shots on target · Fenerbahce1.82.3
Corners · Samsunspor2.02.2
Corners · Fenerbahce2.02.3
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Samsunspor 0 · Draws 3 · Fenerbahce 2
Fenerbahce in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Mar 2026Fenerbahçe 3–2 Samsunspor
Jan 2026Fenerbahçe 2–0 Samsunspor
Oct 2025Samsunspor 0–0 Fenerbahçe
Mar 2025Fenerbahçe 0–0 Samsunspor
Oct 2024Samsunspor 2–2 Fenerbahçe
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce?

Fenerbahce beat Samsunspor 2–0. Bawler's model had Fenerbahce in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Samsunspor had 6 shots (0 on target) to Fenerbahce's 15 (7), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.6.

What was the final score in Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce?

Samsunspor 0–2 Fenerbahce, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the TURKEY: Super Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Samsunspor 30%, the draw 26% and Fenerbahce 45%.

What were the stats in Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce?

Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–1.6, Shots 6–15, Shots on target 0–7, Shots inside box 3–13, Big chances 0–3, Corners 1–6, Saves 5–0, Fouls 13–18, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce?

No. It finished 0–2, so Samsunspor failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Fenerbahce or draw 71%, it finished Fenerbahce won (45% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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