Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor prediction — Süper Lig · Sat 10 Oct · 14:00 UK

Süper Lig · Sat 10 Oct · 14:00 UK
Samsunspor 41Draw 26Trabzonspor 33
Our call before kickoff
67%
Samsunspor or draw
Missed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–3
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
71%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
55%

How it finished

Trabzonspor beat Samsunspor 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Samsunspor at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Trabzonspor 33%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Samsunspor had 23 shots (6 on target) to Trabzonspor's 13 (7), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.0.

SamsunsporFull-time statsTrabzonspor
56%Possession44%
1.4Expected goals (xG)2.0
23Shots13
6Shots on target7
11Shots inside box10
1Big chances6
9Corners5
4Saves6
22Fouls6
1Offsides1
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callSamsunspor or draw 67%Trabzonspor won (33% called)
Total goals2.93
Both teams to score58%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 78%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

SamsunsporTrabzonspor
1.5
Goals+0.2
1.4
18.0
Shots+3.5
14.5
3.2
On target+4.5
7.8
4.0
Corners+1.9
6.0
SamsunsporTrabzonspor
0.5
Goals
0.5
7.7
Shots+1.2
6.5
1.4
On target+2.1
3.5
1.9
Corners+0.9
2.8
SamsunsporTrabzonspor
1.1
Goals+0.2
0.9
10.3
Shots+2.2
8.0
1.8
On target+2.4
4.2
2.1
Corners+1.0
3.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Samsunspor to score79%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Trabzonspor to score74%
Under 3.5 goals67%

First half — what we expected

Samsunspor
46%
to score before half-time
Trabzonspor
46%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%

SamsunsporTrabzonspor
7.71st-half shots6.5
1.41st-half shots on target3.5
1.91st-half corners2.8

First-half chances

60%Chance of 7+ shots45%
37%Chance of 9+ shots24%
19%Chance of 3+ shots on target65%
<10%Chance of 5+ shots on target29%
52%Chance of 2+ corners72%
15%Chance of 4+ corners32%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Samsunspor7.710.3
Shots · Trabzonspor6.58.0
Shots on target · Samsunspor1.41.8
Shots on target · Trabzonspor3.54.2
Corners · Samsunspor1.92.1
Corners · Trabzonspor2.83.2
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Samsunspor form (last 6)W L L L L L
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Samsunspor 1 · Draws 3 · Trabzonspor 1
Trabzonspor in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Apr 2026Samsunspor 0–0 Trabzonspor
Feb 2026Samsunspor 0–3 Trabzonspor
Aug 2025Trabzonspor 1–1 Samsunspor
May 2025Trabzonspor 2–2 Samsunspor
Jan 2025Samsunspor 2–1 Trabzonspor
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?

Trabzonspor beat Samsunspor 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Samsunspor at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Trabzonspor 33%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Samsunspor had 23 shots (6 on target) to Trabzonspor's 13 (7), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.0.

What was the final score in Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?

Samsunspor 0–3 Trabzonspor, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Samsunspor 41%, the draw 26% and Trabzonspor 33%.

What were the stats in Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?

Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–2.0, Shots 23–13, Shots on target 6–7, Shots inside box 11–10, Big chances 1–6, Corners 9–5, Saves 4–6, Fouls 22–6, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–0, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?

No. It finished 0–3, so Samsunspor failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Samsunspor or draw 67%, it finished Trabzonspor won (33% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Samsunspor form →Trabzonspor form →