How it finished
San Diego FC beat LA Galaxy 3–1. Bawler's model had San Diego FC in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. San Diego FC had 20 shots (7 on target) to LA Galaxy's 17 (7), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won San Diego FC vs LA Galaxy?
San Diego FC beat LA Galaxy 3–1. Bawler's model had San Diego FC in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. San Diego FC had 20 shots (7 on target) to LA Galaxy's 17 (7), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.9.
What was the final score in San Diego FC vs LA Galaxy?
San Diego FC 3–1 LA Galaxy, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with San Diego FC 54%, the draw 23% and LA Galaxy 23%.
What were the stats in San Diego FC vs LA Galaxy?
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 2.4–0.9, Shots 20–17, Shots on target 7–7, Shots inside box 13–5, Big chances 3–1, Corners 7–7, Saves 6–3, Fouls 10–14, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 5–2, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in San Diego FC vs LA Galaxy?
Yes — both San Diego FC and LA Galaxy scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for San Diego FC vs LA Galaxy right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said San Diego FC or draw 77%, it finished San Diego FC won (54% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said San Diego FC to win 54%, it finished Landed.