How it finished
San Jose Earthquakes and LAFC drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured San Jose Earthquakes at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. San Jose Earthquakes had 21 shots (9 on target) to LAFC's 3 (2), with 69% of the ball against 31%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won San Jose Earthquakes vs LAFC?
San Jose Earthquakes and LAFC drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured San Jose Earthquakes at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. San Jose Earthquakes had 21 shots (9 on target) to LAFC's 3 (2), with 69% of the ball against 31%.
What was the final score in San Jose Earthquakes vs LAFC?
San Jose Earthquakes 2–2 LAFC, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with San Jose Earthquakes 38%, the draw 24% and LAFC 38%.
What were the stats in San Jose Earthquakes vs LAFC?
Full-time: Possession 69%–31%, Shots 21–3, Shots on target 9–2, Corners 15–3, Saves 0–7, Fouls 8–7, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–2, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in San Jose Earthquakes vs LAFC?
Yes — both San Jose Earthquakes and LAFC scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs LAFC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said San Jose Earthquakes or draw 62%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.