How it finished
Sassuolo and AC Milan drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured AC Milan at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Sassuolo had 11 shots (4 on target) to AC Milan's 11 (6), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 67%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
Sassuolo and AC Milan drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured AC Milan at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Sassuolo had 11 shots (4 on target) to AC Milan's 11 (6), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.2.
What was the final score in Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
Sassuolo 1–1 AC Milan, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sassuolo 31%, the draw 26% and AC Milan 43%.
What were the stats in Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.2, Shots 11–11, Shots on target 4–6, Shots inside box 4–10, Big chances 2–3, Corners 3–5, Saves 5–3, Fouls 13–11, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–4.
Did both teams score in Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
Yes — both Sassuolo and AC Milan scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Sassuolo vs AC Milan right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AC Milan or draw 69%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Missed.