How it finished
Sassuolo beat Juventus 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Juventus at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Sassuolo 22%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Sassuolo had 10 shots (6 on target) to Juventus' 18 (8), with 45% of the ball against 55%. On expected goals it was 0.9 to 1.0, so Juventus created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Sassuolo vs Juventus?
Sassuolo beat Juventus 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Juventus at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Sassuolo 22%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Sassuolo had 10 shots (6 on target) to Juventus' 18 (8), with 45% of the ball against 55%. On expected goals it was 0.9 to 1.0, so Juventus created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Sassuolo vs Juventus?
Sassuolo 3–2 Juventus, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sassuolo 22%, the draw 25% and Juventus 53%.
What were the stats in Sassuolo vs Juventus?
Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.0, Shots 10–18, Shots on target 6–8, Shots inside box 6–11, Big chances 2–2, Corners 3–9, Saves 6–3, Fouls 7–13, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Sassuolo vs Juventus?
Yes — both Sassuolo and Juventus scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Sassuolo vs Juventus right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Juventus or draw 78%, it finished Sassuolo won (22% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.