How it finished
SC Freiburg beat Motherwell 4–1. Bawler's model had SC Freiburg in front at 69% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. SC Freiburg had 29 shots (11 on target) to Motherwell's 2 (1), with 70% of the ball against 30%. Expected goals finished 4.1 to 0.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won SC Freiburg vs Motherwell?
SC Freiburg beat Motherwell 4–1. Bawler's model had SC Freiburg in front at 69% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. SC Freiburg had 29 shots (11 on target) to Motherwell's 2 (1), with 70% of the ball against 30%. Expected goals finished 4.1 to 0.2.
What was the final score in SC Freiburg vs Motherwell?
SC Freiburg 4–1 Motherwell, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with SC Freiburg 69%, the draw 20% and Motherwell 12%.
What were the stats in SC Freiburg vs Motherwell?
Full-time: Possession 70%–30%, Expected goals (xG) 4.1–0.2, Shots 29–2, Shots on target 11–1, Shots inside box 20–1, Big chances 5–0, Corners 7–1, Saves 0–6, Fouls 6–11, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 0–1, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in SC Freiburg vs Motherwell?
Yes — both SC Freiburg and Motherwell scored, finishing 4–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for SC Freiburg vs Motherwell right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said SC Freiburg to win 69%, it finished SC Freiburg won (69% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished Yes.