How it finished
SC Freiburg beat Werder Bremen 4–1. Bawler's model had SC Freiburg in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. SC Freiburg had 19 shots (5 on target) to Werder Bremen's 9 (3), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen?
SC Freiburg beat Werder Bremen 4–1. Bawler's model had SC Freiburg in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. SC Freiburg had 19 shots (5 on target) to Werder Bremen's 9 (3), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.5.
What was the final score in SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen?
SC Freiburg 4–1 Werder Bremen, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the GERMANY: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with SC Freiburg 55%, the draw 24% and Werder Bremen 21%.
What were the stats in SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen?
Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–0.5, Shots 19–9, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 8–6, Big chances 3–2, Corners 6–5, Saves 2–1, Fouls 13–16, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen?
Yes — both SC Freiburg and Werder Bremen scored, finishing 4–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said SC Freiburg or draw 79%, it finished SC Freiburg won (55% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes.